In a remarkable turn of events, tens of thousands of Moroccans have arrived at the Spanish enclave of Ceuta in just a few days, prompting widespread astonishment among Spanish authorities and citizens alike. This sudden surge in migration has stirred questions about the underlying reasons for such a mass movement, with two primary theories currently circulating in Spain: one rooted in political motivations and the other linked to a recent judicial ruling. It is plausible that both explanations hold some truth.

The Political Context Behind the Migration Wave

There is growing suspicion that Morocco is intentionally exerting pressure on Spain. In 2021, a similar scenario unfolded when thousands of Moroccan teenagers crossed the border irregularly, and Spanish border authorities turned a blind eye, signaling a clear message across the Mediterranean. At that time, relations between Madrid and Rabat were strained due to Spain's decision to host the leader of the Polisario Front, who was suffering from COVID-19. The Polisario Front advocates for the independence of Western Sahara, a former Spanish colony claimed by Morocco. This diplomatic tension culminated in the resignation of Spain's then-Foreign Minister, Arancha González Laya, who faced backlash for her humanitarian stance towards the Polisario leader, and later, the Spanish government shifted its position, recognizing Western Sahara as part of Morocco.

Fast forward to the present, the recent influx of migrants seems to coincide with Spain's growing ties to Algeria, Morocco's rival. Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's recent visit to Algeria, where he discussed a 'strategic partnership,' has raised eyebrows in Rabat, leading to concerns that Spain's closer relationship with Algeria might be perceived as a threat. Notably, a proposed new law in Spain seeks to grant citizenship to Sahrawi citizens born during the colonial era, further complicating the dynamics between the neighboring countries.

Judicial Ruling and Its Impact on Migration Policies

On a different note, Spain's government is increasingly leaning towards the interpretation that the ongoing crisis is also influenced by a significant ruling from the Spanish Supreme Court dated July 8. This ruling deemed the practice of 'rapid deportation'—which has allowed border guards in Ceuta and other areas to return migrants immediately at the border—as illegal. The court's decision mandates that migrants arriving by swimming, and thus not crossing any physical barriers, must be granted access to organized procedures and the right to apply for asylum. This change in protocol has resulted in Spanish border guards exercising greater caution, leading to the establishment of reception centers for migrants.

As a consequence, many observers, including journalist Ignacio Semperero, argue that the recent spike in migration was somewhat predictable, considering the circumstances in southern Morocco. Even prior to this influx, there was an increase in the number of Moroccans attempting to reach Spain, risking their lives in the process.

The criticism directed at Sánchez's left-leaning government is not confined to Spain's opposition but has echoed throughout Europe, with calls to enhance border security and even suspend Spain's Schengen agreement membership. Amidst this turmoil, thousands of individuals who initially celebrated their arrival in Ceuta have begun to return to Morocco, with Spanish authorities estimating that over 37,000 of the roughly 60,000 migrants have already gone back, reflecting the challenges and complexities of migration in this region.

As reported by infomigrants.net.