Sardine Scarcity: Understanding the Causes and Implications

Shoppers looking for sardines in supermarkets and discount stores are facing difficulties as supplies dwindle. A recent survey conducted by the German Press Agency among several retail companies reveals that the availability of sardines is increasingly limited. Aldi Nord has confirmed that certain products may be temporarily unavailable, citing challenging conditions in fishing that have restricted sardine supplies. Similarly, the supermarket chain Rewe has described the situation as a "tension-filled raw material landscape" across Europe, impacting both private-label and branded products.

Lidl has also acknowledged that due to a surge in demand for sardines, there may be sporadic availability issues. The retailer is collaborating with suppliers to restore product availability as swiftly as possible. Kaufland has admitted to experiencing isolated shortages, while the food delivery service Picnic has reported similar challenges. The news outlet "Die Welt" previously covered this unfolding situation.

Declining Fish Stocks and Future Expectations

So, what is behind this shortage? According to Stefan Meyer, managing director of the Fish Information Center in Hamburg, the primary sardine fishery for the European market, located off the coasts of Morocco and Western Sahara, has been grappling with declining stocks for years. In 2022, the Moroccan fisheries authority reported a catch of 965,000 tons, but projections for 2024 suggest this number could plummet to just 525,000 tons.

The situation showed no signs of improvement in the previous year, Meyer explains, primarily due to the impacts of climate change, altered marine conditions, and high fishing pressure. In response, the Moroccan government has adopted stricter management practices. Furthermore, since February 2026, exports of frozen sardines have been significantly curtailed or suspended to ensure the domestic market's supply.

This scenario is particularly concerning for European processors, as Morocco has historically been their largest supplier. Meyer warns that a short-term recovery of sardine stocks off Northwest Africa is not on the horizon. Additionally, while the "true sardine" (Sardina pilchardus) is native to the Northeast Atlantic, particularly near Spain and Portugal, the recovery of these stocks in recent years has not been sufficient to bridge the raw material gap. As a result, a swift easing of the sardine market is unlikely.

Meyer suggests that price increases may be on the horizon. Due to a lack of alternatives, manufacturers are increasingly turning to sardine-like fish species, such as sardinellas, which are predominantly found in the Indian Ocean, the western Pacific, and tropical Atlantic waters.

As reported by t-online.de.